Protecting Your Portfolio 20260510

This weekend update highlights a continued divergence between rising stock markets and weakening consumer sentiment. U.S. markets are pushing to new highs while Canadian markets remain flat, supported by rising gold stocks and slightly weaker energy stocks. The Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index has fallen to a new all-time low, reinforcing the presenter’s view that markets are disconnected from real-world economic conditions and that this is an unusually risky time to deploy new capital.

Semiconductor stocks remain the dominant force, but the sector is described as extremely overbought by multiple technical measures reminiscent of the dot-com era. While Nvidia, Intel, and Micron continue to rally, the outlook warns of a potential pullback. The video also covers oil prices, global uncertainty, the VIX, and sector performance across U.S. and Canadian markets, emphasizing caution while monitoring key technical levels for signs of a market shift.

Stephen Whiteside
Sunday, May 10, 2026

Morning Market Outlook 20260508

The outlook begins with bullish pre-market momentum driven by the NASDAQ, though traders are cautioned that employment data may quickly alter sentiment. Weekly charts reveal rising U.S. indexes contrasted with a flat Canadian market as falling crude oil and rising gold shift sector leadership from energy toward precious metals and software.

Daily chart analysis highlights key resistance levels, new highs, and a bearish reversal in the Dow. Technology and software stocks led gains while select financials and industrials weakened. The presentation emphasizes disciplined reactions to buy and sell signals, profit-taking opportunities, and patience when gaps or reversals appear. The video ends with a call to action encouraging viewers to like, comment, subscribe, and learn more about market timing strategies.

Stephen Whiteside

Friday, May 8, 2026

Morning Market Outlook 20260507

Sector Rotation Alert: Metals Surge as Energy Falls

Thursday’s pre-market outlook shows a quiet open with major indices hovering around fair value ahead of U.S. jobless claims, a potential catalyst for volatility. A notable sector rotation occurred as money flowed out of energy and into metals, pushing copper, gold, and silver higher while crude oil fell. Options traders increased protection, and the Dow once again struggled with resistance at the $500 level while the S&P 500 hit its next price target.

Semiconductors continued leading the market higher, with multiple chip stocks making new highs. In Canada, energy lagged while mining and financials strengthened, and airlines benefited from falling oil prices. The session closed with a reminder that upcoming economic data could shift market direction and a call to follow trends and stay engaged for the next update.

Stephen Whiteside
Thursday, May 7, 2026

Morning Market Outlook 20260506

Oil Drops Below $100: Energy Stocks Set for Sell Signals

The video delivers a brief morning market outlook for May 6, 2026, centered on the impact of a sharp drop in crude oil. While Shopify’s prior 15% decline initially appeared to be the key story, attention quickly shifted to oil breaking below $100 and falling toward $90 in the pre-market. This move is driving a strong pre-market rally in the NASDAQ, while gold is moving higher, creating a potentially neutral backdrop for the Canadian market.

The presenter highlights expectations for widespread sell signals in the energy sector if current levels hold into the close. The VIX remains on a sell signal, supporting higher stock prices, and major ETFs such as SPY and the NASDAQ continue pushing toward new highs. The outlook calls for a positive market open alongside likely weakness in energy stocks, emphasizing the importance of market timing and trend-following.

Stephen Whiteside
Wednesday, May 6, 2026

Morning Market Outlook 20260505

Stock Market Outlook: Energy Leads as Transports Turn Bearish

Stock index futures are trading above fair value heading into Tuesday as crude oil pulls back slightly while remaining above $100. Gold is ticking higher in the pre-market but not enough to change the current trend. The transportation sector is back under pressure after the dramatic rise and collapse of Avis Budget distorted the group’s performance. FedEx, UPS, Expeditors, and other transportation stocks gapped lower and returned to sell signals.

Energy remains a key leadership area with gasoline hitting a new high and natural gas returning to a buy signal. Canadian and U.S. energy stocks posted modest gains. Meanwhile, technology stocks moved back to buy signals, major U.S. indexes showed mild weakness, and the VIX is testing resistance. Overall, no major damage was done Monday and early signs point to buying at Tuesday’s open.

Stephen Whiteside
Tuesday, May 5, 2026

Morning Market Outlook 20260504

Stephen Whiteside’s May 4th morning outlook reviews pre-market conditions with index futures slightly below fair value while crude oil rebounds above $100. Energy and gasoline are expected to move higher, while gold, silver, and gold stocks remain on sell signals. The Canadian and U.S. energy sectors continue holding key support levels, suggesting buyers may step in on pullbacks.

The NASDAQ 100 and major tech stocks recently hit new highs, giving traders chances to lock in profits. Apple and AMD showed strength, while NVIDIA, Microsoft, and Meta show weakness or caution signals. Tesla’s buy signal is being ignored due to expected market softness at the open, with traders watching for confirmation signals and volatility from the VIX.

Stephen Whiteside

Monday, May 4, 2026

Protecting Your Portfolio 20260503

The stock market continued grinding higher this week with no major trend changes, despite what appears to be a growing disconnect between Wall Street and Main Street. Semiconductors and energy led the gains, with crude oil, gasoline, and the Canadian energy sector hitting new highs. Meanwhile, gold stocks were the worst performers, and consumer discretionary stocks continue to outperform staples—an unusual signal given concerns about economic slowdown.

Seasonality has played out almost perfectly in 2026, with volatility falling from March into late April and stocks rising accordingly. However, a major risk may be building globally as countries and companies increasingly shift away from U.S. products and defense systems. This potential loss of foreign revenue for U.S. companies may not yet be priced into the market, leaving the door open for a significant decline later in the year.

Stephen Whiteside
Sunday, May 3, 2026

Morning Market Outlook 20260501

April closed with strong bullish momentum across global markets, especially in the U.S., where the NASDAQ surged nearly 16% and semiconductors exploded higher. Canadian markets lagged slightly, led by financials and banks, while gold stocks struggled. Commodities pulled back slightly in the pre-market, but oil remains above $100 and uranium has returned to a buy signal.

Despite geopolitical tensions and rising energy prices, markets continue focusing on big tech and AI momentum. The outlook for May remains cautiously optimistic, but traders are advised not to chase Friday breakouts and instead consider partial positions and wait for confirmation signals next week.

Stephen Whiteside
Friday, May 1, 2026

Morning Market Outlook 20260430

Stocks are showing a bullish bias into month-end with futures trading above fair value and the VIX still on a sell signal, supporting higher prices. Energy led markets while materials and gold stocks weakened, and several Canadian stocks including CGI, FirstService and Canadian National Railway helped pull the TSX lower. In the U.S., markets were mostly quiet with strength in semiconductors but weakness in small caps.

Big tech earnings are driving attention with Amazon and Alphabet pushing toward upside targets while Meta is breaking down and Microsoft remains on a buy signal. Commodities are mixed with crude oil and gasoline hitting new highs while most mining assets remain on sell signals. Bitcoin is near a sell signal as investors rotate capital elsewhere.

Stephen Whiteside
Thursday, April 30, 2026

Morning Market Outlook 20260429

Oil Back Over $100 Ahead of Fed – Morning Market Outlook

Stocks are quiet ahead of the Fed meeting, with crude oil rising back above $100 while gold slips and index futures trade slightly higher. Bond yields have been rising, the VIX remains on a sell signal, and recent TSX weakness is largely tied to sharp pullbacks in Celestica, Cameco, and Wheaton Precious Metals. In the U.S., the S&P 500 pulled back slightly and the NASDAQ showed short-term bearish action while still holding a broader buy signal.

Energy remains a strong sector as oil and gasoline rise, while miners and smaller-cap stocks show weakness. Several actively traded stocks were reviewed for volatility using the Flypaper Channel and average true range, emphasizing comparing stocks within the same sector. Investors are reminded to balance risk, volatility, and portfolio goals while waiting for key economic data and the Fed announcement.

Stephen Whiteside
Wednesday, April 29, 2026